Tech markets

Tech odds and prediction markets

AI lab rankings, model releases, company milestones, IPOs, and science outcomes.

20 active tech markets

Market ↕	YES ↕	Volume ↕	Open Interest ↕	Δ 30d ↕
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	3¢	$996,874	$57,845	-0.3pp
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	5¢	$982,915	$3,531	-11.0pp
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	7¢	$99,444	$18,707	-1.5pp
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	2¢	$9,976	$1,447	·
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?	5¢	$9,962	$327	-10.0pp
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	3¢	$9,953	$857	-1.3pp
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4¢	$9,945	$457	-0.5pp
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	1¢	$9,933	$1,333	+0.3pp
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	41¢	$9,872	$940	+4.0pp
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	1¢	$9,867	$2,104	-2.0pp
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	1¢	$9,817	$2,744	·
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	63¢	$9,781	$337	+31.5pp
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?	7¢	$9,746	$205	-20.8pp
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	9¢	$9,739	$291	+3.1pp
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	10¢	$9,733	$1,034	-39.5pp
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?	1¢	$9,727	$1,528	-2.9pp
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	1¢	$9,668	$3,187	·
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	3¢	$9,645	$2,733	-1.2pp
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	59¢	$9,600	$823	·
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	76¢	$9,597	$908	-0.5pp