Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Will the maximum temperature be <62° on Oct 17, 2026: 61° or below	Kalshi	18¢	$11,855	-68.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 17, 2026: 62° to 63°	Kalshi	75¢	$10,253	+63.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	1¢	$3	-48.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	8¢	$0	-41.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	35¢	$4	-41.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	10¢	$0	-39.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	2¢	$122	-39.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	13¢	$5	-36.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	38¢	$5,587	-35.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	16¢	$0	-33.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	83¢	$1	+33.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	81¢	$1	+31.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	20¢	$0	-29.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	21¢	$4	-29.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	24¢	$0	-25.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	53¢	$2,434,603	-22.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	28¢	$0	-21.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	25¢	$5,596	+21.0pp
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Polymarket	64¢	$999,939	+19.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	31¢	$0	-19.0pp
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Polymarket	26¢	$4,343,890	-18.3pp
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Polymarket	35¢	$1,369,381	-17.6pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Polymarket	64¢	$5,833,156	+17.4pp
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	19¢	$3,875,002	-17.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026: 60,000	Kalshi	44¢	$1,796	-14.0pp
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	70¢	$1,202,537	-12.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	37¢	$0	-12.5pp
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by Octo	Polymarket	73¢	$84,397	-11.5pp
Will above 125000 jobs be added in November 2026: 125,000	Kalshi	14¢	$1,624	-11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	10¢	$16	-11.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026: Above 30,000	Kalshi	76¢	$667	+9.0pp
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Polymarket	15¢	$1,446,764	-7.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	10¢	$2,017,978	-7.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Polymarket	11¢	$14,981,626	-7.0pp
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Polymarket	29¢	$7,756,221	-6.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 94-95° on Oct 17, 2026: 94° to 95°	Kalshi	18¢	$5,019	+6.0pp
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Polymarket	11¢	$2,406,874	+5.5pp
Will above 70000 jobs be added in October 2026: 70,000	Kalshi	56¢	$22,123	+5.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	45¢	$0	-4.5pp
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Polymarket	1¢	$1,261,310	-4.3pp
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Polymarket	86¢	$13,334,144	+4.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in October 2026: 30,000	Kalshi	63¢	$27,454	-4.0pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026: 80,000	Kalshi	41¢	$14,938	-4.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 17, 2026: 90° to 91°	Kalshi	31¢	$4,993	+4.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 92-93° on Oct 17, 2026: 92° to 93°	Kalshi	33¢	$4,004	-4.0pp
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Polymarket	28¢	$548,781	-3.5pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026: 50,000	Kalshi	59¢	$19,041	-3.0pp
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	5¢	$2,216,641	-3.0pp
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Polymarket	13¢	$10,166,414	-3.0pp
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	12¢	$4,771,862	+3.0pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.