Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian	Polymarket	49¢	$98,699	+39.2pp
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	12¢	$99,948	-31.9pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	57¢	$10,663	+22.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	99¢	$2,739	+18.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	69¢	$5,948	-16.0pp
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Polymarket	36¢	$96,781	+15.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	50¢	$3,418	+13.0pp
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	15¢	$99,109	-12.5pp
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Polymarket	7¢	$9,950	-10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	89¢	$5,980	+10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	75¢	$5,339	-10.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 96-97° on Sep 2, 2026: 96° to 97°	Kalshi	36¢	$1,448	+10.0pp
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026	Polymarket	97¢	$9,985	+10.0pp
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Polymarket	23¢	$9,804	-9.6pp
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?	Polymarket	83¢	$9,615	-9.6pp
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating el	Polymarket	72¢	$9,963	-9.1pp
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Polymarket	80¢	$9,999	+8.5pp
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?	Polymarket	40¢	$9,647	+8.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	61¢	$22,601	+8.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <75° on Sep 2, 2026: 74° or below	Kalshi	61¢	$4,428	-7.0pp
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	19¢	$9,994	-7.0pp
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Polymarket	34¢	$9,689	+7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	87¢	$7,831	-7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	97¢	$3,778	+7.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 92-93° on Sep 2, 2026: 92° to 93°	Kalshi	10¢	$1,435	-6.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	80¢	$15,684	+5.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <92° on Sep 2, 2026: 91° or below	Kalshi	2¢	$456	-5.0pp
Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?	Polymarket	43¢	$9,957	+5.0pp
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on Sept	Polymarket	19¢	$9,614	-5.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000	Kalshi	52¢	$365	-5.0pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?	Polymarket	97¢	$9,886	+4.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	75¢	$6,136	-4.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in October 2026: 90,000	Kalshi	36¢	$365	-4.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Sep 2, 2026: 75° to 76°	Kalshi	30¢	$1,355	+4.0pp
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	19¢	$9,781	+3.7pp
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Polymarket	66¢	$99,604	+3.5pp
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Polymarket	14¢	$978,684	-3.5pp
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	45¢	$9,751	-3.5pp
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	Polymarket	2¢	$96,659	-3.3pp
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Polymarket	73¢	$9,903	+3.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	37¢	$15,477	-3.0pp
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Polymarket	28¢	$9,785	-3.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	87¢	$7,312	-3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Sep 2, 2026: 77° to 78°	Kalshi	53¢	$6,466	-3.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	90¢	$4,853	-3.0pp
Will above -50000 jobs be added in August 2026: -50,000	Kalshi	92¢	$3,892	+3.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026: 90,000	Kalshi	36¢	$448	-3.0pp
Will above 20000 jobs be added in November 2026: 20,000	Kalshi	72¢	$263	-3.0pp
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	11¢	$9,861	+3.0pp
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	32¢	$9,668	-3.0pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.