Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.105 to 0.1099999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.1 to 0.1049999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.095 to 0.0999999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.09 to 0.0949999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.085 to 0.0899999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Dogecoin price range on Jul 19, 2026: $0.08 to 0.0849999	Kalshi	96¢	$0	+95.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 78-79° on Jul 18, 2026: 78° to 79°	Kalshi	99¢	$146,983	+80.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be >79° on Jul 18, 2026: 80° or above	Kalshi	1¢	$301,076	-78.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be <79° on Jul 18, 2026: 78° or below	Kalshi	98¢	$71,693	+65.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	1¢	$2,442	-50.0pp
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championshi	Polymarket	89¢	$9,892	+48.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	22¢	$10,299	-47.0pp
Ethereum price at Jul 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,080 to 2,119.99	Kalshi	2¢	$1	-46.5pp
Ethereum price at Jul 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,040 to 2,079.99	Kalshi	2¢	$1	-46.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	4¢	$3,230	-44.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	86¢	$3,070	+40.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	45¢	$22,058	-39.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 79-80° on Jul 18, 2026: 79° to 80°	Kalshi	1¢	$45,680	-37.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	59¢	$15,174	-36.0pp
Ethereum price at Jul 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,000 to 2,039.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-33.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	70¢	$15,409	-28.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	88¢	$5,007	+26.0pp
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?	Polymarket	2¢	$9,845	-24.1pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	28¢	$15,027	-24.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	89¢	$6,980	+23.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	76¢	$5,631	-21.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be <80° on Jul 19, 2026: 79° or below	Kalshi	40¢	$2,429	+16.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be 82-83° on Jul 19, 2026: 82° to 83°	Kalshi	43¢	$1,071	+16.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	28¢	$10,155	-14.0pp
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	29¢	$97,817	-12.5pp
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Polymarket	10¢	$974,697	-12.0pp
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Polymarket	76¢	$9,734	+12.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 81-82° on Jul 18, 2026: 81° to 82°	Kalshi	5¢	$30,571	-11.0pp
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?	Polymarket	84¢	$9,579	+11.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026: Above 30,000	Kalshi	71¢	$559	+10.0pp
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	14¢	$9,982	-9.5pp
Will the high temp in LA be 77-78° on Jul 19, 2026: 77° to 78°	Kalshi	56¢	$2,572	+9.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 75-76° on Jul 19, 2026: 75° to 76°	Kalshi	16¢	$4,376	-9.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	77¢	$5,688	+9.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 83-84° on Jul 18, 2026: 83° to 84°	Kalshi	1¢	$14,173	-8.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be 84-85° on Jul 19, 2026: 84° to 85°	Kalshi	5¢	$199	-8.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	69¢	$5,561	+8.0pp
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	31¢	$98,809	+7.5pp
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosni	Polymarket	28¢	$9,917	-7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	90¢	$4,955	-7.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000	Kalshi	56¢	$364	+7.0pp
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	19¢	$9,904	-6.5pp
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?	Polymarket	16¢	$9,649	-6.5pp
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Polymarket	9¢	$98,918	-6.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 85-86° on Jul 18, 2026: 85° to 86°	Kalshi	2¢	$14,180	-6.0pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.