Economy markets

Economy odds and prediction markets

Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, GDP releases, and recession indicators.

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131 active economy markets

MarketYESVolumeOpen InterestΔ 30d
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? 16¢ $9,555,766 $152,270 +0.0pp
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? $996,147 $25,127 +0.0pp
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? $978,917 $81,740 +0.0pp
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? $978,537 $47,779 +0.0pp
US strike on Cuba by December 31? 40¢ $969,264 $44,736 +0.0pp
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 27¢ $966,825 $43,574 +0.0pp
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? $966,458 $15,936 +0.0pp
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? $956,937 $115,638 +0.0pp
2026 Balance of Power: Other $954,802 $87,751 +0.0pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? 60¢ $99,639 $10,698 +0.0pp
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? $99,275 $11,636 +0.0pp
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? $99,259 $3,371 +0.0pp
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? 55¢ $99,196 $6,655 +0.0pp
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? $99,019 $7,261 +0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026? $98,529 $12,410 +0.0pp
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? $98,464 $8,909 +0.0pp
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? $98,390 $86,047 +0.0pp
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? 99¢ $98,113 $64,151 +0.0pp
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch? $97,841 $20,057 +0.0pp
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? $97,776 $15,868 +0.0pp
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? $97,450 $5,029 +0.0pp
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? $97,363 $18,556 +0.0pp
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? $97,243 $26,305 +0.0pp
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? $97,158 $23,248 +0.0pp
Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? $97,074 $1,526 +0.0pp
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? 11¢ $96,565 $40,449 +0.0pp
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? $96,457 $7,352 +0.0pp
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? $96,027 $3,165 +0.0pp
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? $95,624 $16,653 +0.0pp
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? $95,576 $20,359 +0.0pp
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? $95,496 $15,393 +0.0pp
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? 12¢ $95,463 $21,797 +0.0pp
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? $95,434 $22,869 +0.0pp
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? 10¢ $95,272 $6,534 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 64¢ $10,444 $1,676 +0.0pp
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? 17¢ $9,985 $25,821 +0.0pp
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? $9,968 $2,974 +0.0pp
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30? $9,946 $14,066 +0.0pp
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? $9,944 $2,394 +0.0pp
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? 58¢ $9,941 $3,524 +0.0pp
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? $9,916 $30,301 +0.0pp
Will XRP reach $1.80 April 13-19? $9,906 $9,591 +0.0pp
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026? $9,896 $9,869 +0.0pp
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? $9,875 $10,908 +0.0pp
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April? $9,870 $4,866 +0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? $9,855 $12,573 +0.0pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30? $9,846 $3,145 +0.0pp
Will Baidu have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? $9,827 $8,649 +0.0pp
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? 35¢ $9,824 $18,055 +0.0pp
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-04-19? 43¢ $9,823 $14,584 +0.0pp
Amouranth divorced by June 30? 10¢ $9,810 $1,051 +0.0pp
Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? $9,795 $2,944 +0.0pp
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? $9,795 $11,032 +0.0pp
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bu 44¢ $9,795 $58,948 +0.0pp
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? 10¢ $9,792 $7,744 +0.0pp
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T? $9,777 $4,777 +0.0pp
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April? $9,745 $1,578 +0.0pp
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? 10¢ $9,730 $13,858 +0.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? 44¢ $9,707 $4,274 +0.0pp
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? $9,700 $11,507 +0.0pp
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? $9,674 $23,885 +0.0pp
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5? $9,649 $1,736 +0.0pp
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30? $9,648 $6,302 +0.0pp
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? 38¢ $9,647 $210 +0.0pp
Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? $9,638 $10,134 +0.0pp
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19? 28¢ $9,636 $3,606 +0.0pp
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? $9,636 $6,921 +0.0pp
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? $9,605 $2,931 +0.0pp
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? 19¢ $9,596 $4,496 +0.0pp
Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? $9,582 $23,295 +0.0pp
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO? $9,568 $2,710 +0.0pp
Will Justin Bieber feature Tyler, the Creator during his Coachella performances? $9,544 $322 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 48¢ $8,528 $1,948 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 65¢ $8,450 $1,689 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 44¢ $6,254 $1,696 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 61¢ $5,147 $1,163 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 95¢ $4,581 $1,108 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 86¢ $4,221 $671 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 87¢ $3,975 $497 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 77¢ $3,331 $611 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 63¢ $3,319 $678 +0.0pp
Will above 200000 jobs be added in April 2026: 200,000 $3,253 $3,136 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 94¢ $3,225 $1,002 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 84¢ $3,077 $426 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 48¢ $3,068 $693 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 96¢ $2,727 $914 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 75¢ $1,965 $508 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 98¢ $1,825 $961 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 16¢ $1,677 $882 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 20¢ $1,589 $246 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be below 6675 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 6,674.99 or below 11¢ $1,396 $1,142 +0.0pp
Will above 125000 jobs be added in November 2026: 125,000 16¢ $1,362 $140 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 90¢ $1,163 $635 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 97¢ $1,011 $590 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7250 and 7274.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,250 to 7,274.9999 12¢ $859 $853 +0.0pp
Will above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026: -25,000 72¢ $588 $76 +0.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026: 30,000 62¢ $478 $92 +0.0pp
Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026: 150,000 14¢ $464 $431 +0.0pp
Will above 175000 jobs be added in April 2026: 175,000 $317 $317 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,275 to 7,299.9999 11¢ $303 $303 +0.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in October 2026: 90,000 30¢ $289 $3 +0.0pp
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026: 10,000 69¢ $280 $60 +0.0pp
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026? 74¢ $273 $55 +0.0pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in November 2026: 50,000 45¢ $261 $36 +0.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026: 90,000 30¢ $243 $27 +0.0pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026: 80,000 36¢ $221 $27 +0.0pp
Will above 70000 jobs be added in November 2026: 70,000 35¢ $192 $0 +0.0pp
Will above 20000 jobs be added in November 2026: 20,000 66¢ $180 $118 +0.0pp
Will above 40000 jobs be added in November 2026: 40,000 54¢ $116 $0 +0.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000 49¢ $103 $19 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7325 and 7349.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,325 to 7,349.9999 15¢ $87 $87 +0.0pp
Will above 100000 jobs be added in November 2026: 100,000 30¢ $69 $1 +0.0pp
Will above -75000 jobs be added in April 2026: -75,000 98¢ $21 $11 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7025 and 7049.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,025 to 7,049.9999 17¢ $20 $20 +0.0pp
Will above -100000 jobs be added in April 2026: -100,000 97¢ $10 $10 +0.0pp
Will above -50000 jobs be added in April 2026: -50,000 88¢ $5 $5 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7300 and 7324.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,300 to 7,324.9999 12¢ $3 $3 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7350 and 7374.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,350 to 7,374.9999 $1 $1 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be above 7374.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,375.0099 or above 11¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7225 and 7249.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,225 to 7,249.9999 12¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7224.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,200 to 7,224.9999 15¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7175 and 7199.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,175 to 7,199.9999 17¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7150 and 7174.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,150 to 7,174.9999 12¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7125 and 7149.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,125 to 7,149.9999 31¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7100 and 7124.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,100 to 7,124.9999 28¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7075 and 7099.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,075 to 7,099.9999 28¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7050 and 7074.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,050 to 7,074.9999 28¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7024.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,000 to 7,024.9999 31¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 6975 and 6999.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 6,975 to 6,999.9999 11¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 6950 and 6974.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 6,950 to 6,974.9999 $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 6925 and 6949.9999 on Apr 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 6,925 to 6,949.9999 $0 $0 +0.0pp