economy

Will above 70000 jobs be added in November 2026: 70,000

PlatformKalshi Expires2026-12-04 Volume$192 Open Interest$0
YES
35¢
Implied probability: 35.0%
NO
65¢
Implied probability: 65.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 35¢ · High 35¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
35¢
NO Price
65¢
Total Volume
$192
Open Interest
$0
Expiration
2026-12-04
Days Left
229
About this market

What resolves this contract

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 70000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 35¢ means the market is pricing in a 35.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($192) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 70000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-04, 229 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 35¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 — a profit of 65¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 35¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 35.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $192 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.