Politics markets

Politics odds and prediction markets

Election outcomes, congressional control, policy decisions, and political events tracked on prediction markets.

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39 active politics markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 27¢ $9,845,550 $222,781 +4.1pp
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $9,824,806 $2,068,106 ·
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? $968,078 $138,967 -0.2pp
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $99,783 $22,679 +0.3pp
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? 46¢ $98,629 $47,753 -1.0pp
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? 31¢ $95,711 $24,230 -7.3pp
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? $9,985 $31,367 ·
Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? $9,982 $12,572 -0.3pp
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election? 47¢ $9,954 $6,958 +0.0pp
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $9,945 $16,717 ·
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat? 89¢ $9,934 $24,640 +0.1pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? $9,919 $16,395 -1.6pp
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? 20¢ $9,899 $23,723 -3.6pp
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat? 14¢ $9,894 $14,612 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat? 92¢ $9,879 $17,832 ·
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat? 93¢ $9,863 $19,773 ·
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat? $9,861 $17,445 -0.4pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat? 93¢ $9,826 $33,645 -0.1pp
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? 93¢ $9,803 $24,745 -0.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat? 93¢ $9,790 $20,478 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat? $9,778 $12,996 -0.2pp
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? 11¢ $9,753 $14,337 ·
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,720 $26,885 +0.3pp
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? $9,717 $10,804 -0.2pp
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? 96¢ $9,709 $11,833 -1.4pp
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? $9,708 $18,576 -0.8pp
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat? 94¢ $9,695 $20,659 -0.3pp
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? 78¢ $9,653 $18,549 +0.5pp
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat? 92¢ $9,651 $18,810 ·
Will Melisa Hortman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? $9,626 $14,718 ·
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? 93¢ $9,618 $18,572 ·
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? $9,612 $16,217 +0.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat? $9,586 $24,045 +0.7pp
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat? 93¢ $9,583 $22,466 -1.0pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? 67¢ $9,582 $8,761 -2.0pp
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? $9,581 $20,371 ·
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election? 98¢ $9,576 $13,141 +0.0pp
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat? $9,573 $28,916 ·
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? 68¢ $9,569 $11,441 ·
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