Politics markets

Politics odds and prediction markets

Election outcomes, congressional control, policy decisions, and political events tracked on prediction markets.

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48 active politics markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $9,973,145 $492,050 -0.1pp
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $9,615,159 $584,417 +0.5pp
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? $9,612,578 $434,151 +0.0pp
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 59¢ $985,485 $157,005 +0.5pp
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? 17¢ $98,898 $4,161 +2.5pp
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? 96¢ $98,067 $3,392 -1.5pp
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? 65¢ $97,553 $17,691 +3.0pp
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? 24¢ $96,348 $1,164 +1.0pp
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? 46¢ $96,105 $24,547 ·
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? 74¢ $9,995 $2,033 +2.0pp
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? 94¢ $9,987 $845 ·
Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? 12¢ $9,962 $1,426 +4.5pp
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat? $9,938 $783 -0.1pp
Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? 40¢ $9,917 $947 +2.0pp
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? 81¢ $9,917 $12,356 ·
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? 14¢ $9,912 $905 +1.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat? 95¢ $9,895 $829 -0.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat? 97¢ $9,886 $637 +4.1pp
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? $9,883 $15,795 ·
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? 84¢ $9,883 $327 +2.1pp
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat? 92¢ $9,879 $7,788 ·
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,865 $24,798 ·
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? 94¢ $9,857 $9,839 +0.5pp
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? 76¢ $9,852 $445 -0.5pp
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? 96¢ $9,844 $673 +8.8pp
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? $9,838 $6,875 -1.8pp
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? 87¢ $9,824 $5,575 +0.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? 89¢ $9,806 $1,591 -1.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat? $9,801 $5,155 +0.2pp
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat? 94¢ $9,791 $14,796 +0.0pp
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? 22¢ $9,754 $691 +0.5pp
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? 23¢ $9,753 $1,606 -1.0pp
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? 98¢ $9,733 $1,075 +1.5pp
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? 23¢ $9,731 $2,715 ·
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? 41¢ $9,714 $4,833 ·
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? 51¢ $9,679 $1,532 ·
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? $9,677 $1,524 ·
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? $9,674 $262 -3.0pp
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? $9,673 $1,507 +1.7pp
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? 37¢ $9,669 $537 +10.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat? 89¢ $9,642 $3,234 ·
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? $9,607 $14,181 -1.2pp
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? 14¢ $9,598 $1,716 +4.0pp
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat? $9,597 $9,347 +0.5pp
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat? $9,589 $13,842 ·
Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? 21¢ $9,583 $1,446 +1.0pp
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? 37¢ $9,574 $779 ·
Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat? 95¢ $9,570 $1,621 ·
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