Weather markets

Weather odds and prediction markets

Temperature, rain, snow, and hurricane markets tied to NOAA and National Weather Service data.

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33 active weather markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? 1¢ $18,620,076 $162,777 -1.1pp
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? 7¢ $6,530,994 $3,457 -1.0pp
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? 1¢ $902,831 $42,413 ·
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 1¢ $833,171 $24,784 -0.3pp
Will the maximum temperature be <62° on Oct 17, 2026: 61° or below 13¢ $39,558 $24,871 -73.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 17, 2026: 64° to 65° 4¢ $22,002 $12,510 +3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 17, 2026: 62° to 63° 86¢ $20,073 $11,231 +74.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 94-95° on Oct 17, 2026: 94° to 95° 7¢ $13,108 $8,438 -5.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 88-89° on Oct 17, 2026: 88° to 89° 10¢ $10,436 $5,824 -4.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >95° on Oct 17, 2026: 96° or above 2¢ $9,732 $7,998 -3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 17, 2026: 90° to 91° 33¢ $7,520 $5,408 +6.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 92-93° on Oct 17, 2026: 92° to 93° 45¢ $7,267 $5,449 +8.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 17, 2026: 66° to 67° 1¢ $7,111 $6,925 ·
Will the maximum temperature be <88° on Oct 17, 2026: 87° or below 4¢ $6,140 $3,663 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 17, 2026: 59° to 60° 16¢ $4,692 $3,496 -15.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 17, 2026: 55° to 56° 19¢ $4,373 $3,022 +11.0pp
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 7 62¢ $4,260 $1,303 +38.0pp
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 9 98¢ $3,554 $1,628 +53.0pp
Will there be more than 11 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 11 10¢ $3,276 $941 -19.0pp
Will there be more than 12 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 12 2¢ $3,265 $1,397 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 17, 2026: 57° to 58° 60¢ $2,846 $2,291 +3.0pp
Will there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 6 99¢ $2,409 $919 +77.0pp
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 10 50¢ $2,393 $751 +13.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 17, 2026: 53° to 54° 2¢ $1,828 $1,384 -1.0pp
Will there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026: Above 3 28¢ $1,684 $960 -6.0pp
Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026: Above 5 75¢ $1,653 $769 +48.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 17, 2026: 70° or above 1¢ $1,647 $1,598 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 17, 2026: 68° to 69° 1¢ $1,323 $1,323 ·
Will the maximum temperature be <53° on Oct 17, 2026: 52° or below 1¢ $1,252 $1,051 -1.0pp
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 8 99¢ $1,171 $434 +50.0pp
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 8 19¢ $967 $689 -3.0pp
Will there be more than 13 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026: Above 13 34¢ $948 $649 +22.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >60° on Oct 17, 2026: 61° or above 1¢ $923 $793 -1.0pp
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