Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW p
Reading the odds on this market
At 9.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 9.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 11.
$10 on YES buys about 105 contracts that pay $105.26 if it happens; $10 on NO at 90.5¢ buys about 11.0 that pay $11.05 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 10.5% if it wins, with the money locked up for 453 days until January 1, 2028; that works out to about 8.4% a year.
$2,046,292 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $1,264,944 still riding on the outcome, making it number 106 by volume of the 201 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 9¢ means the market is pricing in a 9.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($2,046,292) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,264,944) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 3¢ | $40,469,827 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | 2¢ | $7,961,184 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | 7¢ | $2,426,387 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW p
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2028-01-01, 453 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 9¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 90¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 9¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 9.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $2,046,292 in total traded volume and $1,264,944 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.