tech

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-30 Volume$9,665 Open Interest$1,648
YES
1¢
Implied probability: 1.0%
NO
99¢
Implied probability: 99.6%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 1¢ · High 1¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
1¢
NO Price
99¢
Total Volume
$9,665
Open Interest
$1,648
Expiration
2026-09-30
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finaliz

Reading the odds on this market

At 1.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 1.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 100.

$10 on YES buys about 1,000 contracts that pay $1,000.00 if it happens; $10 on NO at 99.0¢ buys about 10.1 that pay $10.10 if it does not.

$9,665 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $1,648 still riding on the outcome, making it number 156 by volume of the 215 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 1¢ means the market is pricing in a 1.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,665) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,648) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,775 3¢ $2,100
Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,750 5¢ $1,521
Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,725 21¢ $717
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finaliz

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-30. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 99¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,665 in total traded volume and $1,648 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-30. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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