Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Reading the odds on this market
At 10.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 10.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 10.
$10 on YES buys about 95 contracts that pay $95.24 if it happens; $10 on NO at 89.5¢ buys about 11.2 that pay $11.17 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 11.7% if it wins, with the money locked up for 769 days until November 8, 2028; that works out to about 5.4% a year.
$9,665 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $50,085 still riding on the outcome, making it number 159 by volume of the 241 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 10¢ means the market is pricing in a 10.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,665) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($50,085) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,726,615 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | 5¢ | $963,309 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 32¢ | $98,352 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2028-11-08, 769 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 10¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 90¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 10¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 10.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,665 in total traded volume and $50,085 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.