sports

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-11-04 Volume$3,693,913 Open Interest$406,527
YES
54¢
Implied probability: 54.5%
NO
45¢
Implied probability: 45.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 54¢ · High 54¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Where this question trades

No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.

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YES Price
54¢
NO Price
45¢
Total Volume
$3,693,913
Open Interest
$406,527
Expiration
2026-11-04
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 4, 2026 If BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, i

Reading the odds on this market

At 54.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 54.5% chance this happens, roughly 1.2 to 1 in favour.

$10 on YES buys about 18 contracts that pay $18.35 if it happens; $10 on NO at 45.5¢ buys about 22.0 that pay $21.98 if it does not.

$3,693,913 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $406,527 still riding on the outcome, making it number 67 by volume of the 352 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 54¢ means the market is pricing in a 54.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($3,693,913) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($406,527) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 4, 2026 If BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, i

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-11-04. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 54¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 45¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 54¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 54.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $3,693,913 in total traded volume and $406,527 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-11-04. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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