Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from conte
Reading the odds on this market
At 96.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 96.5% chance this happens, roughly 27.6 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 10 contracts that pay $10.36 if it happens; $10 on NO at 3.5¢ buys about 285.7 that pay $285.71 if it does not.
The favoured side, YES, returns 3.6% if it wins, with the money locked up for 62 days until December 6, 2026; that works out to about 23.3% a year.
$4,561,804 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $39,002 still riding on the outcome, making it number 60 by volume of the 201 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 96¢ means the market is pricing in a 96.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($4,561,804) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($39,002) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $26,466,275 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,911,498 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,354,909 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from conte
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-12-06, 62 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 96¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 4¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 96¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 96.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $4,561,804 in total traded volume and $39,002 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.