What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026: $4,050 or lower?
Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading
Reading the odds on this market
At 29.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 29.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.
$10 on YES buys about 34 contracts that pay $33.90 if it happens; $10 on NO at 70.5¢ buys about 14.2 that pay $14.18 if it does not.
$1 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 374 by volume of the 378 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 29¢ means the market is pricing in a 29.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($1) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 11¢ | $15,385,654 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 88¢ | $14,990,479 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 11¢ | $11,560,194 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-23, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 29¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 70¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 29¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 29.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $1 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.