UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)
Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Reading the odds on this market
At 31.8¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 31.8% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.
$10 on YES buys about 31 contracts that pay $31.50 if it happens; $10 on NO at 68.2¢ buys about 14.7 that pay $14.65 if it does not.
$19 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 321 by volume of the 383 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 31¢ means the market is pricing in a 31.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($19) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $35,747,698 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 68¢ | $8,144,171 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 22¢ | $7,593,972 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-01, 6 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 31¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 68¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 31¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 31.8% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $19 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.