META Daily Up Down
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday
Reading the odds on this market
At 57.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 57.5% chance this happens, roughly 1.4 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 17 contracts that pay $17.39 if it happens; $10 on NO at 42.5¢ buys about 23.5 that pay $23.53 if it does not.
$1 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 374 by volume of the 381 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 57¢ means the market is pricing in a 57.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($1) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 14¢ | $15,127,682 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 87¢ | $13,959,886 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 12¢ | $10,676,475 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-19. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 57¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 43¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 57¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 57.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $1 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.