Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthr
Reading the odds on this market
At 98.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 98.0% chance this happens, roughly 49.0 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 10 contracts that pay $10.20 if it happens; $10 on NO at 2.0¢ buys about 500.0 that pay $500.00 if it does not.
The favoured side, YES, returns 2.0% if it wins, with the money locked up for 232 days until July 2, 2027; that works out to about 3.2% a year.
$100 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 283 by volume of the 380 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 98¢ means the market is pricing in a 98.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($100) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 7¢ | $17,679,200 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 98¢ | $9,570,866 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 85¢ | $6,995,178 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthr
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-07-01, 232 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 98¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 2¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 98¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 98.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $100 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.