Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
What resolves this contract
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trum
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 69¢ means the market is pricing in a 69.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,757) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($928) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
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Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trum
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-28, 53 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 69¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 31¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 69¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 69.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,757 in total traded volume and $928 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.