Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting
Reading the odds on this market
At 7.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 7.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 14.
$10 on YES buys about 144 contracts that pay $143.88 if it happens; $10 on NO at 93.0¢ buys about 10.7 that pay $10.75 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 7.5% if it wins, with the money locked up for 4 days until November 1, 2026; that works out to about 71453.4% a year.
$2,090,572 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $265,962 still riding on the outcome, making it number 115 by volume of the 394 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 6¢ means the market is pricing in a 7.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($2,090,572) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($265,962) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $36,433,443 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1¢ | $5,852,001 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $5,641,638 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-31, 4 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 6¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 93¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 6¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 7.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $2,090,572 in total traded volume and $265,962 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.