Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the
Reading the odds on this market
At 26.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 26.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 4.
$10 on YES buys about 38 contracts that pay $37.74 if it happens; $10 on NO at 73.5¢ buys about 13.6 that pay $13.61 if it does not.
$9,669 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $430 still riding on the outcome, making it number 151 by volume of the 204 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 26¢ means the market is pricing in a 26.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,669) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($430) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 3¢ | $997,942 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 3¢ | $984,429 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | 99¢ | $977,485 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-01, 33 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 26¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 74¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 26¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 26.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,669 in total traded volume and $430 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.