Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th
Reading the odds on this market
At 2.6¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 2.6% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 38.
$10 on YES buys about 377 contracts that pay $377.36 if it happens; $10 on NO at 97.4¢ buys about 10.3 that pay $10.27 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 2.7% if it wins, with the money locked up for 91 days until December 31, 2026; that works out to about 11.4% a year.
$9,706 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $1,500 still riding on the outcome, making it number 148 by volume of the 241 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 2¢ means the market is pricing in a 2.6% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,706) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,500) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 2¢ | $998,638 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 3¢ | $984,706 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | 1¢ | $98,478 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 91 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 2¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 97¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 2¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 2.6% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,706 in total traded volume and $1,500 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.