sports

Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-11-30 Volume$997,361 Open Interest$6,530
YES
Implied probability: 1.6%
NO
98¢
Implied probability: 98.4%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 1¢ · High 1¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
NO Price
98¢
Total Volume
$997,361
Open Interest
$6,530
Expiration
2026-11-30
Days Left
225
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be t

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 1.6% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($997,361) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($6,530) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be t

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-11-30, 225 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 — a profit of 98¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.6% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $997,361 in total traded volume and $6,530 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.