Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This
Reading the odds on this market
At 42.2¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 42.2% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 2.
$10 on YES buys about 24 contracts that pay $23.70 if it happens; $10 on NO at 57.8¢ buys about 17.3 that pay $17.30 if it does not.
$81,557 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $5,762 still riding on the outcome, making it number 146 by volume of the 396 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 42¢ means the market is pricing in a 42.2% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($81,557) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($5,762) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 1¢ | $66,560,187 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 1¢ | $2,475,135 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 1¢ | $2,305,889 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-23, 5 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 42¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 58¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 42¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 42.2% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $81,557 in total traded volume and $5,762 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.