politics

Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-11-03 Volume$9,807 Open Interest$8,857
YES
81¢
Implied probability: 81.5%
NO
18¢
Implied probability: 18.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 81¢ · High 81¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
81¢
NO Price
18¢
Total Volume
$9,807
Open Interest
$8,857
Expiration
2026-11-03
Days Left
42
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot line

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 81¢ means the market is pricing in a 81.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,807) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($8,857) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $9,669,262
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? 59¢ $98,141
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? 14¢ $98,126
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot line

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-11-03, 42 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 81¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 19¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 81¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 81.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,807 in total traded volume and $8,857 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-22. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.