Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?
What resolves this contract
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 4¢ means the market is pricing in a 4.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,765) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($11,085) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,677,928 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | 60¢ | $99,963 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 15¢ | $98,126 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-04, 42 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 4¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 95¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 4¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 4.8% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,765 in total traded volume and $11,085 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.