Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Reading the odds on this market
At 99.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 99.0% chance this happens, roughly 99.0 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 10 contracts that pay $10.10 if it happens; $10 on NO at 1.0¢ buys about 1,000.0 that pay $1,000.00 if it does not.
$3,489,617 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $336,044 still riding on the outcome, making it number 73 by volume of the 355 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 99¢ means the market is pricing in a 99.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($3,489,617) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($336,044) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 3¢ | $24,748,236 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 3¢ | $9,024,818 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 12¢ | $7,188,192 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-01. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 99¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 1¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 99¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 99.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $3,489,617 in total traded volume and $336,044 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.