Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 15, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if th
Reading the odds on this market
At 69.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 69.5% chance this happens, roughly 2.3 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 14 contracts that pay $14.39 if it happens; $10 on NO at 30.5¢ buys about 32.8 that pay $32.79 if it does not.
$2,993,821 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $66,633 still riding on the outcome, making it number 93 by volume of the 212 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 69¢ means the market is pricing in a 69.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($2,993,821) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($66,633) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $30,784,695 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,948,155 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,519,476 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 15, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if th
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-15. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 69¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 31¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 69¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 69.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $2,993,821 in total traded volume and $66,633 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.