Warriors vs. Nuggets
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Reading the odds on this market
At 84.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 84.0% chance this happens, roughly 5.2 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 12 contracts that pay $11.90 if it happens; $10 on NO at 16.0¢ buys about 62.5 that pay $62.50 if it does not.
$3,118,969 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $72,505 still riding on the outcome, making it number 85 by volume of the 382 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 84¢ means the market is pricing in a 84.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($3,118,969) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($72,505) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $36,063,630 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1¢ | $5,851,709 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $5,641,628 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-27. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 84¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 16¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 84¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 84.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $3,118,969 in total traded volume and $72,505 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.