sports

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-29 Volume$4,091,620 Open Interest$1,363,122
YES
99¢
Implied probability: 99.0%
NO
0¢
Implied probability: 0.1%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 99¢ · High 99¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Where this question trades

No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.

Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
99¢
NO Price
0¢
Total Volume
$4,091,620
Open Interest
$1,363,122
Expiration
2026-10-29
Days Left
1
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Invictus Gaming and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled st

Reading the odds on this market

At 99.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 99.0% chance this happens, roughly 99.0 to 1 in favour.

$10 on YES buys about 10 contracts that pay $10.10 if it happens; $10 on NO at 1.0¢ buys about 1,000.0 that pay $1,000.00 if it does not.

The favoured side, YES, returns 1.0% if it wins, with the money locked up for 1 days until October 30, 2026; that works out to about 3818.8% a year.

$4,091,620 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $1,363,122 still riding on the outcome, making it number 66 by volume of the 406 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 99¢ means the market is pricing in a 99.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($4,091,620) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,363,122) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? 1¢ $36,849,326
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? 1¢ $5,852,508
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? 1¢ $5,642,662
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Invictus Gaming and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled st

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-29, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 99¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 1¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 99¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 99.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $4,091,620 in total traded volume and $1,363,122 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-10-28. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.