Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?
Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case).
Reading the odds on this market
At 42.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 42.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 2.
$10 on YES buys about 24 contracts that pay $23.53 if it happens; $10 on NO at 57.5¢ buys about 17.4 that pay $17.39 if it does not.
$34 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 308 by volume of the 380 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 42¢ means the market is pricing in a 42.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($34) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $42,811,715 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1¢ | $5,858,443 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1¢ | $4,673,604 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case).
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-07-01, 232 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 42¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 57¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 42¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 42.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $34 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.