Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election: Republican?
What resolves this contract
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Reading the odds on this market
At 34.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 34.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.
$10 on YES buys about 29 contracts that pay $28.99 if it happens; $10 on NO at 65.5¢ buys about 15.3 that pay $15.27 if it does not.
$35 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 311 by volume of the 377 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 34¢ means the market is pricing in a 34.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($35) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $54,891,766 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $54,439,768 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $52,913,183 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2028-11-08, 753 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 34¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 66¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 34¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 34.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $35 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.