politics

Which party will win the House in 2026: Other?

PlatformLimitless Expires2026-11-04 Volume$1,010 Open Interest$0
YES
1¢
Implied probability: 1.0%
NO
99¢
Implied probability: 99.4%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 1¢ · High 1¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Limitless, an onchain exchange; Kalshi lists similar events for US traders. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
1¢
NO Price
99¢
Total Volume
$1,010
Open Interest
$0
Expiration
2026-11-04
Days Left
18
About this market

What resolves this contract

Additional context - Updated October 14, 2026 This market's rules have been updated for clarity. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if neither the Democratic Party nor the Republican Party wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election, as determined under the rules below. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A party wins control of the United States House of Representat

Reading the odds on this market

At 1.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 1.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 100.

$10 on YES buys about 1,000 contracts that pay $1,000.00 if it happens; $10 on NO at 99.0¢ buys about 10.1 that pay $10.10 if it does not.

The favoured side, NO, returns 1.0% if it wins, with the money locked up for 18 days until November 4, 2026; that works out to about 22.6% a year.

$1,010 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 229 by volume of the 377 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 1¢ means the market is pricing in a 1.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($1,010) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1¢ $54,891,766
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1¢ $54,439,768
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1¢ $52,913,183
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

Additional context - Updated October 14, 2026 This market's rules have been updated for clarity. This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if neither the Democratic Party nor the Republican Party wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election, as determined under the rules below. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A party wins control of the United States House of Representat

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-11-04, 18 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 99¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $1,010 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-10-17. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.