Which party will win the House in 2026: Democratic Party?
What resolves this contract
Additional context - Updated October 14, 2026 This market's rules have been updated for clarity. This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. Th
Reading the odds on this market
At 90.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 90.5% chance this happens, roughly 9.5 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 11 contracts that pay $11.05 if it happens; $10 on NO at 9.5¢ buys about 105.3 that pay $105.26 if it does not.
The favoured side, YES, returns 10.5% if it wins, with the money locked up for 18 days until November 4, 2026; that works out to about 657.0% a year.
$828 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 240 by volume of the 377 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 90¢ means the market is pricing in a 90.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($828) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $54,891,766 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $54,439,768 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $52,913,183 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Additional context - Updated October 14, 2026 This market's rules have been updated for clarity. This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. Th
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-04, 18 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 90¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 9¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 90¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 90.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $828 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.