Venezuela leader end of 2026: Nicolás Maduro?
What resolves this contract
Additional context - Updated August 25, 2026 Per the rules, “officially holds” refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. As of this clarification, The UN-recognized government of Venezuela has not formally removed or replaced Nicolás Maduro as President, and official government sources and statements continue to identify him as the President of Venezuela. Temporary legal measures assigning the ex
Reading the odds on this market
At 71.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 71.5% chance this happens, roughly 2.5 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 14 contracts that pay $13.99 if it happens; $10 on NO at 28.5¢ buys about 35.1 that pay $35.09 if it does not.
$2 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 368 by volume of the 377 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 71¢ means the market is pricing in a 71.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($2) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $54,891,766 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $54,439,768 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $52,913,183 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Additional context - Updated August 25, 2026 Per the rules, “officially holds” refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. As of this clarification, The UN-recognized government of Venezuela has not formally removed or replaced Nicolás Maduro as President, and official government sources and statements continue to identify him as the President of Venezuela. Temporary legal measures assigning the ex
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 75 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 71¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 29¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 71¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 71.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $2 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.