crypto

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026: 2.5-2.9%?

PlatformLimitless Expires2026-10-27 Volume$44 Open Interest$0
YES
34¢
Implied probability: 34.5%
NO
65¢
Implied probability: 65.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 34¢ · High 34¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Limitless, an onchain exchange; Kalshi lists similar events for US traders. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
34¢
NO Price
65¢
Total Volume
$44
Open Interest
$0
Expiration
2026-10-27
Days Left
10
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type o

Reading the odds on this market

At 34.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 34.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.

$10 on YES buys about 29 contracts that pay $28.99 if it happens; $10 on NO at 65.5¢ buys about 15.3 that pay $15.27 if it does not.

$44 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 307 by volume of the 377 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 34¢ means the market is pricing in a 34.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($44) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 5¢ $24,087,396
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? 4¢ $8,674,940
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? 10¢ $6,791,277
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type o

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-27, 10 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 34¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 66¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 34¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 34.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $44 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-10-17. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.