politics

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election: Alberto Núñez Feijóo?

PlatformLimitless Expires2028-08-22 Volume$2 Open Interest$0
YES
79¢
Implied probability: 79.8%
NO
20¢
Implied probability: 20.2%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 79¢ · High 79¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Limitless, an onchain exchange; Kalshi lists similar events for US traders. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
79¢
NO Price
20¢
Total Volume
$2
Open Interest
$0
Expiration
2028-08-22
Days Left
675
About this market

What resolves this contract

If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity fro

Reading the odds on this market

At 79.8¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 79.8% chance this happens, roughly 3.9 to 1 in favour.

$10 on YES buys about 13 contracts that pay $12.54 if it happens; $10 on NO at 20.2¢ buys about 49.4 that pay $49.38 if it does not.

$2 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 361 by volume of the 377 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 79¢ means the market is pricing in a 79.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($2) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1¢ $54,891,766
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1¢ $54,439,768
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1¢ $52,913,183
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity fro

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2028-08-22, 675 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 79¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 20¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 79¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 79.8% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $2 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-10-17. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.