politics

Bulgaria Presidential Election: Аndrey Gyurov

PlatformLimitless Expires2026-10-26 Volume$841 Open Interest$0
YES
14¢
Implied probability: 14.8%
NO
85¢
Implied probability: 85.2%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 14¢ · High 14¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Where this question trades

Prices are mid-market at the last refresh. The gap is what the other venue pays for the same outcome; the Divergence Index tracks these gaps every day.

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YES Price
14¢
NO Price
85¢
Total Volume
$841
Open Interest
$0
Expiration
2026-10-26
Days Left
3
About this market

What resolves this contract

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specif

Reading the odds on this market

At 14.8¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 14.8% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 7.

$10 on YES buys about 68 contracts that pay $67.80 if it happens; $10 on NO at 85.2¢ buys about 11.7 that pay $11.73 if it does not.

The favoured side, NO, returns 17.3% if it wins, with the money locked up for 3 days until October 26, 2026; that works out to about 27050969363.9% a year.

$841 has traded on it on Limitless, making it number 244 by volume of the 396 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 14¢ means the market is pricing in a 14.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($841) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specif

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-26, 3 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 14¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 85¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 14¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 14.8% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Limitless. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $841 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-10-23. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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