Washington wins
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
If Washington wins the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Reading the odds on this market
At 64.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 64.0% chance this happens, roughly 1.8 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 16 contracts that pay $15.62 if it happens; $10 on NO at 36.0¢ buys about 27.8 that pay $27.78 if it does not.
Over the last 3 daily readings the YES price moved up 2.0 points, trading between 63.0¢ and 67.0¢.
$4,911 has traded on it on Kalshi, with $4,863 still riding on the outcome, making it number 183 by volume of the 396 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 64¢ means the market is pricing in a 64.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($4,911) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($4,863) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $34,673,327 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,955,999 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 76¢ | $6,899,345 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
If Washington wins the Philadelphia vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-04, 12 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 64¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 36¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 64¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 64.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $4,911 in total traded volume and $4,863 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.