Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
No other exchange lists this exact question right now. The Divergence Index shows the questions that trade on two or three venues at once.
What resolves this contract
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. On November 12, 2026, Reuters reported that Huang had an intimate relationship with a second NVIDIA employee, whom it did not name. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2
Reading the odds on this market
At 47.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 47.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 2.
$10 on YES buys about 21 contracts that pay $21.05 if it happens; $10 on NO at 52.5¢ buys about 19.0 that pay $19.05 if it does not.
$186,427 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $11,906 still riding on the outcome, making it number 150 by volume of the 387 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 47¢ means the market is pricing in a 47.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($186,427) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($11,906) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 1¢ | $69,130,819 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 1¢ | $2,482,006 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 1¢ | $2,317,921 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. On November 12, 2026, Reuters reported that Huang had an intimate relationship with a second NVIDIA employee, whom it did not name. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 49 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 47¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 52¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 47¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 47.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $186,427 in total traded volume and $11,906 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.