economy

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-01 Volume$9,640 Open Interest$17,048
YES
1¢
Implied probability: 1.4%
NO
98¢
Implied probability: 98.6%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 1¢ · High 1¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
1¢
NO Price
98¢
Total Volume
$9,640
Open Interest
$17,048
Expiration
2026-10-01
Days Left
6
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open fr

Reading the odds on this market

At 1.4¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 1.4% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 71.

$10 on YES buys about 714 contracts that pay $714.29 if it happens; $10 on NO at 98.6¢ buys about 10.1 that pay $10.14 if it does not.

The favoured side, NO, returns 1.4% if it wins, with the money locked up for 6 days until October 1, 2026; that works out to about 135.8% a year.

$9,640 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $17,048 still riding on the outcome, making it number 153 by volume of the 212 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 1¢ means the market is pricing in a 1.4% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,640) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($17,048) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open fr

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-01, 6 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 99¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.4% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,640 in total traded volume and $17,048 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-25. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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