culture

Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-30 Volume$9,670 Open Interest$523
YES
18¢
Implied probability: 18.0%
NO
82¢
Implied probability: 82.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 18¢ · High 18¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
18¢
NO Price
82¢
Total Volume
$9,670
Open Interest
$523
Expiration
2026-09-30
Days Left
6
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or re

Reading the odds on this market

At 18.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 18.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 6.

$10 on YES buys about 56 contracts that pay $55.56 if it happens; $10 on NO at 82.0¢ buys about 12.2 that pay $12.20 if it does not.

$9,670 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $523 still riding on the outcome, making it number 128 by volume of the 203 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 18¢ means the market is pricing in a 18.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,670) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($523) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or re

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 6 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 18¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 82¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 18¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 18.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,670 in total traded volume and $523 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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