Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or re
Reading the odds on this market
At 18.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 18.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 6.
$10 on YES buys about 56 contracts that pay $55.56 if it happens; $10 on NO at 82.0¢ buys about 12.2 that pay $12.20 if it does not.
$9,670 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $523 still riding on the outcome, making it number 128 by volume of the 203 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 18¢ means the market is pricing in a 18.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,670) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($523) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Brown come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | 22¢ | $9,966 |
| Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | 1¢ | $9,961 |
| Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | 8¢ | $9,818 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or re
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 6 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 18¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 82¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 18¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 18.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,670 in total traded volume and $523 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.