world

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-27 Volume$9,588 Open Interest$8,703
YES
27¢
Implied probability: 27.5%
NO
72¢
Implied probability: 72.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 27¢ · High 27¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
27¢
NO Price
72¢
Total Volume
$9,588
Open Interest
$8,703
Expiration
2026-10-27
Days Left
130
About this market

What resolves this contract

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 27¢ means the market is pricing in a 27.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,588) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($8,703) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? $969,683
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? $963,835
Iran Nuke before 2027? $952,721
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-27, 130 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 27¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 72¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 27¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 27.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,588 in total traded volume and $8,703 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.