Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 2?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price accordin
Reading the odds on this market
At 4.7¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 4.7% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 22.
$10 on YES buys about 215 contracts that pay $215.05 if it happens; $10 on NO at 95.3¢ buys about 10.5 that pay $10.49 if it does not.
$9,655 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $25,109 still riding on the outcome, making it number 158 by volume of the 217 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 4¢ means the market is pricing in a 4.7% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,655) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($25,109) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price range on Oct 2, 2026: $92,300 or above | 1¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin price range on Oct 2, 2026: $73,699.99 or below | 1¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin price range on Oct 2, 2026: $92,200 to 92,299.99 | 1¢ | $0 |
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? | 13¢ | $99,475 |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 12¢ | $97,219 |
| Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 16¢ | $9,995 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price accordin
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-02. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 4¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 95¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 4¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 4.7% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,655 in total traded volume and $25,109 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.