economy

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-30 Volume$9,706 Open Interest$313
YES
42¢
Implied probability: 42.0%
NO
57¢
Implied probability: 58.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 42¢ · High 42¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
42¢
NO Price
57¢
Total Volume
$9,706
Open Interest
$313
Expiration
2026-09-30
Days Left
16
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If t

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 42¢ means the market is pricing in a 42.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,706) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($313) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will the S&P 500 be between 7900 and 7924.9999 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,900 $0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7875 and 7899.9999 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,875 $0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7850 and 7874.9999 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,850 12¢ $0
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If t

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 16 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 42¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 58¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 42¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 42.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,706 in total traded volume and $313 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-14. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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