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Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-08-31 Volume$9,649 Open Interest$698
YES
66¢
Implied probability: 66.5%
NO
33¢
Implied probability: 33.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 66¢ · High 66¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
66¢
NO Price
33¢
Total Volume
$9,649
Open Interest
$698
Expiration
2026-08-31
Days Left
22
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 66¢ means the market is pricing in a 66.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,649) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($698) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will the S&P 500 be between 7850 and 7874.9999 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,850 $1
Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,775 $1
Will the S&P 500 be between 8025 and 8049.9999 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,025 $0
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-08-31, 22 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 66¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 34¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 66¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 66.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,649 in total traded volume and $698 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-09. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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