Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania was not a sitting member of the Romanian parliament at the time of their appointment as Prime Minister and does not represent or have a clear political affiliation with any Romanian political party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minist
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 43¢ means the market is pricing in a 43.9% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,860) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($53) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 3¢ | $994,536 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 5¢ | $982,488 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 1¢ | $978,211 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania was not a sitting member of the Romanian parliament at the time of their appointment as Prime Minister and does not represent or have a clear political affiliation with any Romanian political party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minist
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2028-01-01, 470 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 43¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 56¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 43¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 43.9% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,860 in total traded volume and $53 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.