economy

Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-01 Volume$9,729 Open Interest$2,606
YES
52¢
Implied probability: 52.0%
NO
48¢
Implied probability: 48.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 52¢ · High 52¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
52¢
NO Price
48¢
Total Volume
$9,729
Open Interest
$2,606
Expiration
2026-10-01
Days Left
11
About this market

What resolves this contract

On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 52¢ means the market is pricing in a 52.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,729) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,606) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-01, 11 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 52¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 48¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 52¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 52.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,729 in total traded volume and $2,606 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-20. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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