Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by StandX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Reading the odds on this market
At 63.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 63.5% chance this happens, roughly 1.7 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 16 contracts that pay $15.75 if it happens; $10 on NO at 36.5¢ buys about 27.4 that pay $27.40 if it does not.
$9,645 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $515 still riding on the outcome, making it number 156 by volume of the 199 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 63¢ means the market is pricing in a 63.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,645) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($515) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | 7¢ | $987,900 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | 13¢ | $968,222 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | 1¢ | $99,991 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by StandX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 97 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 63¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 36¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 63¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 63.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,645 in total traded volume and $515 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.