economy

Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-05-17 Volume$9,991 Open Interest$4,882
YES
27¢
Implied probability: 27.5%
NO
72¢
Implied probability: 72.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 27¢ · High 27¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
27¢
NO Price
72¢
Total Volume
$9,991
Open Interest
$4,882
Expiration
2026-05-17
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Astana 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 9th - May 17th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible r

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 27¢ means the market is pricing in a 27.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,991) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($4,882) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Astana 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 9th - May 17th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible r

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-05-17, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 27¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 72¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 27¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 27.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,991 in total traded volume and $4,882 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-05-10. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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