Will SpearShot Win the ADC Race 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the winner of the ADC Race 2026, a League of Legends solo queue race between Azzapp, AloisNL, NattyNatt, and SpearShot to reach the highest rank within a cap of 400 games each while playing ADC champions. If this race is not completed, or a winner has not been determined, by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from TrackDiff (https://t
Reading the odds on this market
At 8.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 8.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 12.
$10 on YES buys about 125 contracts that pay $125.00 if it happens; $10 on NO at 92.0¢ buys about 10.9 that pay $10.87 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 8.7% if it wins, with the money locked up for 97 days until January 1, 2027; that works out to about 36.9% a year.
$9,716 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $3,296 still riding on the outcome, making it number 126 by volume of the 200 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 8¢ means the market is pricing in a 8.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,716) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,296) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,965 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3¢ | $978,247 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the ADC Race 2026, a League of Legends solo queue race between Azzapp, AloisNL, NattyNatt, and SpearShot to reach the highest rank within a cap of 400 games each while playing ADC champions. If this race is not completed, or a winner has not been determined, by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from TrackDiff (https://t
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 97 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 8¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 92¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 8¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 8.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,716 in total traded volume and $3,296 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.