Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 99¢ means the market is pricing in a 99.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,984) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($5,184) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the **high temp in LA** be 68-69° on May 4, 2026: 68° to 69° | 27¢ | $30,964 |
| Will the **high temp in LA** be 64-65° on May 4, 2026: 64° to 65° | 6¢ | $22,269 |
| Will the **high temp in LA** be >69° on May 4, 2026: 70° or above | 1¢ | $16,673 |
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,811,878 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | 13¢ | $9,743,915 |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,720,632 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-06-01, 28 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 99¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 1¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 99¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 99.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,984 in total traded volume and $5,184 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.