economy

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in September?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-01 Volume$9,998 Open Interest$985
YES
11¢
Implied probability: 11.0%
NO
89¢
Implied probability: 89.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 11¢ · High 11¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
11¢
NO Price
89¢
Total Volume
$9,998
Open Interest
$985
Expiration
2026-10-01
Days Left
3
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as publi

Reading the odds on this market

At 11.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 11.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 9.

$10 on YES buys about 91 contracts that pay $90.91 if it happens; $10 on NO at 89.0¢ buys about 11.2 that pay $11.24 if it does not.

The favoured side, NO, returns 12.4% if it wins, with the money locked up for 3 days until October 1, 2026; that works out to about 143730484.4% a year.

$9,998 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $985 still riding on the outcome, making it number 49 by volume of the 199 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 11¢ means the market is pricing in a 11.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,998) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($985) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 1¢ $988,470
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 1¢ $988,307
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 1¢ $983,929
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as publi

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-01, 3 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 11¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 89¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 11¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 11.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,998 in total traded volume and $985 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-28. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.